Best Bets

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Methodology

Best Bets

Betting Analysis

Bet Type	Best #	Commission
		%

OvallBallOdds: This Week's 10 Best Bets
Sport	Round	F'cst	Suggested Wager	Edge	Net Result	Outcome	Bet 100	Win 100
AFL	16	50	Back Fremantle-23.5 @ 1.90 or lay St Kilda+23.5	41.8%	..	..	..	..
NRL	17	17	Back Storm -9.5 @ 1.91 or lay Sharks+9.5	26.4%	..	..	..	..
NRL	17	-2	Back Knights +8.5 @ 1.91 or lay Raiders-8.5	22.5%	-4 (Knights 18, Raiders 22)	Win	91.00	100.00
NRL	17	-10	Lay Titans +3.5 @ 1.91 or back Cowboys-3.5 @ 1.91	22.5%	..	..	..	..
NRL	17	12	Back Sea Eagles -6.5 @ 1.91 or lay Tigers+6.5	18.4%	18 (Sea Eagles 28, Tigers 10)	Win	91.00	100.00
AFL	16	-20	Lay Sydney Swans+8.5 @ 1.90 or back Western Bulldogs-8.5 @ 1.90	16.5%	-9 (Sydney Swans 96, Western Bulldogs 105)	Win	90.00	100.00
NRL	17	7	Back Dragons -2.5 @ 1.91 or lay Eels+2.5	14.4%	14 (Dragons 34, Eels 20)	Win	91.00	100.00
NRL	17	7	Back Broncos -4.5 @ 1.91 or lay Warriors+4.5	6.1%	14 (Broncos 26, Warriors 12)	Win	91.00	100.00
AFL	16	65	Back Collingwood-60.5 @ 1.90 or lay West Coast Eagles+60.5	3.5%	29 (Collingwood 88, West Coast Eagles 59)	Lose	-100.00	-111.11
AFL	16	-42	Lay Richmond+37.5 @ 1.90 or back Adelaide Crows-37.5 @ 1.90	3.5%	..	..	..	..
Interim Results: Bet $100, outlay $600 for a return of 59.00% : To Win $100, outlay $662 for a return of 58.76%							354.00	388.89

The Best Bets page analyses all matches in the three oval ball codes, namely AFL, Super Rugby and the NRL, and ranks the matches on the basis of betting margin variable. A betting margin is defined as the expected return from a bet under the assumption (1) that OvalBallOdds match point prediction is an accurate reflection of the likely match outcome and (2) one is able to place a bet at the stated market odds. Users can choose to display the margin ranked matches for either bets to beat the line or bets to win the match. Please note that bets to win the match do not indicate the team most likely to win the match but rather suggests bets with the most value. The suggested bet may recommend a value bet on a team that is not the favourite to win the match.